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Augsburg – Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)

Augsburg have managed to stay above the bottom line until now, but now they host Borussia Dortmund this Saturday at WWK Arena, for the 33th Bundesliga round. With the relegation battle getting tighter, Augsburg need to take these last two matches seriously in order to secure maintenance, but they face very tough opponents in here and in the next round, against Hoffenheim. Borussia Dortmund, on their turn, reclaimed third spot with a win against Hoffenheim last weekend, and will try to hold this position in order to get direct qualification to next season’s Champions League.

Augsburg are 13th placed in the Bundesliga table with the same 36 points than 14th Wolfsburg, result of 9 victories, 9 draws and 14 defeats, with 34 goals scored and 50 goals conceded. After a very irregular course throughout this season, things are looking very complicated for Augsburg with only 2 points above the bottom line, which obliges them to get positive results in these last two fixtures if they are to secure maintenance. Lately, they have been getting positive results at home, winning 2 of their last 5 home games, losing only 1, with 11 goals scored and 7 conceded. They are a team with difficulties in keeping possession of the ball and are little dangerous in attacking, scoring most of their goals in counterattacks. They have won back-to-back home games, though, and will try to hurt the visitors on the break here.

In their last 5 official games, Augsburg has won 2, drew 1 and lost the other 2. This sequence of results started with a 2-0 defeat at Hertha Berlin’s home. This result was followed by a 2-1 home victory over FC Koln, a 3-1 defeat at Frankfurt’s ground, a 4-0 home victory against Hamburg, and in their last clash, a 1-1 draw at Borussia M’Gladbach’s home. Ja-Cheol Koo and Jan Morávek are both out due injury.

Probable Lineup: Hitz – Verhaegh, Gouweleeuw and Stafylidis – Kohr and Baier – Schmid, Altintop and Max – Finnbogason.

bundesligaBorussia Dortmund are 3rd placed in the Bundesliga table with 60 points, result of 17 victories, 9 draws and 6 defeats, with 67 goals scored and 36 goals conceded. This turned out to be not exactly the season that Dortmund had idealized in the beginning of the season, were they failed, once again, in keeping up with Bayern Munich in the title race and couldn’t go further than the quarter-finals of the Champions League. However, there is still a chance of taking something positive this season, which is to win the German Cup, where have qualified to the final, after beating Bayern Munich, and will face Frankfurt. Thomas Tuchel’s men had a very important win in the last weekend, where they host and won against Hoffenheim, but with only 2 points above Hoffe, they can’t risk any more slip ups in these last two games in order to get direct qualification to next season’s Champions League.

Away from home is definitely not where are stronger, since they have only won 2 of their last 5, losing other 2, and scored 9 goals and conceded 9 in the process. It is important to highlight that 27 of their 36 goals conceded in the Bundesliga were away from home. Borussia Dortmund is the type of team that scores a lot of goals, but also concedes a lot, having difficulties particularly in aerial duels, but are very strong in finishing scoring chances, strong in attacking down the wings, fast and dangerous in counterattacks and have very talented players, like Dembélé, Guerreiro, Reus, Aubameyang, among others, that are capable of making the difference at any moment.

In their last 5 official games, Borussia Dortmund has won 3, drew 1 and lost the other 1. This sequence of results started with a 3-1 defeat at Monaco’s home, for the Champions League. This result was followed by a 2-3 victory at Borussia M’Gladbach’s home, a 2-3 victory at Bayern Munich’s home, for the German Cup, a 0-0 home draw against FC Koln, and in their last clash, a 2-1 home victory over Hoffenheim. Gotze, Schurrle, Nuri Sahin, all injured, and Gonzalo Castro, suspended, are all out for this tie.

Probable Lineup: Burki – Piszczek, Sokratis, Bender and Schemlzer – Weigl – Dembélé, Kagawa, Guerreiro and Reus – Aubameyang.

Augsburg has only won 1 of their last 8 direct confronts, drawing 2 and losing the remaining 5.

Borussia Dortmund 1-1 FC Augsburg
1. Bundesliga 16/17
FC Augsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
1. Bundesliga 15/16
FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund
DFB Pokal 2015/16
Borussia Dortmund 5-1 FC Augsburg
1. Bundesliga 15/16
Borussia Dortmund 0-1 FC Augsburg
1. Bundesliga 14/15
FC Augsburg 2-3 Borussia Dortmund
1. Bundesliga 14/15
Borussia Dortmund 2-2 FC Augsburg
1. Bundesliga 13/14
FC Augsburg 0-4 Borussia Dortmund
1. Bundesliga 13/14

With Dortmund having to win in order to maintain 3rd spot, and with Augsburg fighting for maintenance, this should be an intense game with several chances at both ends of the pitch.

Betting Preview Odd Bookmaker Success
Both Teams To Score 1.67 Bet365
FC Augsburg
  • Country: Germany
  • Stadium: Arena SGL
  • City: Augsburg
  • Establishment: 1907

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Borussia Dortmund
  • Country: Germany
  • Stadium: Signal Iduna Park
  • City: Dortmund
  • Establishment: 1909

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Fábio Mota
  • Predictions made 159
  • Average Odds used 1.77
  • Predictions right 93
  • Predictions wrong 55
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