Bundesliga 18ª Jornada

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Bayer Leverkusen – Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)

The Bundesliga is back on Friday after the winter break, with Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich going up against each other at the BayArena, for the 18th round of the Bundesliga. Bayer Leverkusen reached the winter break in a superb form and arrive here undefeated with the last 12 consecutive Bundesliga matches. Bayern Munich, on their turn, are also going through a very good moment, they have won four straight Bundesliga matches and sit a comfortable 11 points ahead of second-placed Schalke.

Bayer Leverkusen are 4th placed in the league with 28 points, from 7 victories, 7 draws and 3 defeats, with 34 goals scored and 23 goals conceded. Leverkusen closed 2017 with a very important away victory to Borussia M’Gladbach, qualifying to the DFB Pokal quarter finals. The Lions are undefeated in their last 14 consecutive matches, 12 for the Bundesliga and 2 for the DFB Pokal, an impressive record given the great irregularity of the team in recent seasons. However, it is imperative that the team maintain this record to ensure their presence in European competitions next season, as both Borussia Dortmund and Leipzig and Borussia M’Gladbach also have 28 points, and Hoffenheim and Frankfurt are just behind them, both with 26 points.

It is at the BayArena that the team is stronger, they are undefeated at their own ground this season and have won 4 out of 8 Bundesliga matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding 8 in the process. In their last 5 Bundesliga home games, Leverkusen won 2 and drew 3, with 8 goals scored and 6 goals conceded. With just 2 points behind Schalke, who travel to Leipzig’s ground, the Lions have an opportunity to get pass them in the league table, although for that they have to be able to defeat Bayern Munich here.

In their last 5 official matches, Bayer Leverkusen has a record of 3 victories and 2 draws. This sequence of results started with a 1-1 home draw against Borussia Dortmund. This result was followed by 0-2 against Stuttgart, a 1-0 victory against Werder Bremen, a 4-4 draw away to Hannover, and in their last match, a 1-0 victory against Borussia M’Gladbach, for the DFB Pokal.

Probable Lineup: Leno – Tah, Bender and Retsos – Kohr, Aránguiz, Bender and Wendell – Brandt, Volland and Balley.

bundesligaBayern Munich, on their turn, are 1st placed in the league with 41 points, from 13 victories, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 37 goals scored and 11 goals conceded. It is no surprise that Bayern Munich are isolated at the top of the league table with 11 points ahead of second-placed Schalke. The team closed 2017 with a victory in another edition of the Der Klassiker, the german classic against Borussia Dortmund, but this time for the DFB Pokal.

The Bavarians have won 11 of their last 12 matches in all competitions, and have found stability after former manger Jupp Heynckes returned to the club and replacement Carlo Ancelotti in October. Away from home, the team have won 4 of their last 5 Bundesliga games, losing the remaining against Borussia M’Gladbach, with 7 goals scored and 3 goals conceded. This is a very well organized team with very talented players. However, a little before the winter break, the team started to demonstrate some difficulties in scoring goals, something unusual for the Bavarians.

In their last 5 official matches, Bayern Munich has a record of 5 victories. This sequence of results started with a 3-1 victory over PSG, for the Champions League. This result was followed by a 0-1 defeat against Frankfurt, a 1-0 victory over FC Koln, a 0-1 victory against Stuttgart, and in their last match, a 2-1 victory against Borussia Dortmund. Neuer, Hummels and Alcântara are all out due to injury. Kingsley Coman challenges Franck Ribéry for his spot on the left wing, while winter signing Sandro Wagner could make his Bayern comeback up front, with Robert Lewandowski expected to miss out.

Probable Lineup: Ulreich – Kimmich, Sule, Boateng and Rafinha – Martínez and Vidal – Robben, Muller and Ribéry – Wagner.

Bayer Leverkusen have won just 1 of their last 8 direct confrontations, drawing 3 and losing the remaining 4.

Bayern Munich 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen
1. Bundesliga 17/18
Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Bayern Munich
1. Bundesliga 16/17
Bayern Munich 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen
1. Bundesliga 16/17
Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Bayern Munich
1. Bundesliga 15/16
Bayern Munich 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen
1. Bundesliga 15/16
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Bayern Munich
1. Bundesliga 14/15
Bayer Leverkusen 0-0(3-5 g.p.) Bayern Munich
DFB Pokal 2014/15
Bayern Munich 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen
1. Bundesliga 14/15

Bayern have not only been struggling to score goals away from home in their last fixtures, but they have also struggled to win at BayArena. Bayer Leverkusen have come up with good arguments and have achieved good results at home against the Bavarians, something the Lions will try to repeat once again. Bayern are favorites, but this shouldn’t be a typical goal festival.

Betting Preview Odd Bookmaker Success
Under 3.5 Goals 1.67 Bet365
Bayer Leverkusen
  • Country: Germany
  • Stadium: BayArena
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FC Bayern Munich
  • Country: Germany
  • Stadium: Allianz Arena
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Fábio Mota
  • Predictions made 174
  • Average Odds used 1.76
  • Predictions right 99
  • Predictions wrong 65
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