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Bundesliga 31ª Jornada

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Borussia Dortmund – FC Koln (Bundesliga)

After beating Bayern Munich in the German Cup semi-finals at Allianz Arena, in midweek, Borussia Dortmund hosts FC Koln at Signal Iduna Park this Saturday, in a game referent to the 32th round of Bundesliga. With presence in the German Cup final secured and having recovered 3rd place in the Bundesliga table, things are finally starting to look better for Thomas Tuchel’s men. FC Koln, on their turn, has been losing important points and are more and more away from european qualification spots, winning just once in their last five consecutive games.

Borussia Dortmund are 3rd placed in the Bundesliga table with 56 points, the result of 16 victories, 8 draws and 6 defeats, with 65 goals scored and 35 goals conceded. After being eliminated from the Champions League quarter-finals, Borussia Dortmund focused entirely in the german competitions and are getting good results, having started with recovering the 3rd place in the Bundesliga table, which grants direct access to the Champions League, taking advantage of Hoffenheim’s slip up in the last league round, and won against the mighty Bayern de Munique at the Allianz Arena, securing their 4th consecutive presence in the German Cup final, with Borussia M’Gladbach being their opponent.

Despite being a team that concedes too many goals, the same doesn’t happen when they are playing in home soil, where they have only conceded 8 goals in the 14 matches they played in Bundesliga, having won the last 5 where they scored 16 goals and conceded only 3 in the process. Clearly strong with the support of their fans, it is also at home that they are even more strong offensively, being very dangerous when attacking down the wings and in creating scoring chances through individual skill, with players like Dembélé, Guerreiro, Marco Reus, Aubameyang, among others, being capable of making the difference at any momento, since they all are very fast and very skillful players. Besides this, in order to maintain 3rd place, Dortmund are obliged to get all the available points in this final stage of the championship. Aubameyang is the offensive reference, being the league’s top scorer with 27 goals scored.

In their last 5 official games, Dortmund won 3 games and lost the remaining 2. This sequence of results started with a 2-3 home defeat agains AS Monaco, for the Champions League. This result was followed by a 3-1 home victory over Frankfurt, a 3-1 at AS Monaco’s home, for the Champions League, a 2-3 away win against Borussia M’Gladbach, and in their last clash, a 2-3 away win at Bayern Munich’s home, for the German Cup. Gotze, Bartra, Nuri Sahin, Sebastian Rode and Schurrle are all out due to injury.

Probable Lineup: Burki – Piszczek, Sokratis, Ginter and Schmelzer – Weigl – Dembélé, Castro, Kagawa and Reus – Aubameyang.

bundesligaFC Koln, on their turn, are 8th placed in the Bundesliga table with the same 41 points than 9th Frankfurt, the result of 10 victories, 11 draws and 9 losses, with 43 goals scored and 37 goals conceded. After a good start of the season, with the team spending all of the first round of the championship in the top places of the league table, FC Koln has been drastically decreasing their form and arrive here with just 2 victories in their last 11 consecutive Bundesliga games, which has been causing the drop of places in the table and more and more away form european qualification spots, with the 6th placed Freiburg now 3 points above them.

To make the matters worse for Peter Stoger’s men, this is a team that shows great difficulties in winning away from home, losing 4 of their last 5 away games, and scoring 6 goals while conceding 11 in the process. The Billy Goats play their game in their own midfield e their mostly used form of attacking are counter attacks, taking advantage of the space behind their opponents backs. Anthony Modeste is the offensive reference, being the league’s 3rd top scorer with 23 goals scored.

In their last 5 official games, FC Koln won 1, draw 1 and lost the remaining 3. This sequence of results started with a 2-1 defeat at Hamburgo’s ground. This result was followed by a 1-0 home victory over Frankfurt, a 2-3 home defeat at the hands of Borussia M’Gladbach, a 2-1 away defeat at Augsburg’s home, and in their last clash, a 1-1 home draw against Hoffenheim. Zoller, Risse and Guirassy are all out due to injury.

Probable Lineup: Horn – Olkowski, Subotic, Heintz and Hector – Clemens, Hoger, Lehmann and Bittencourt – Osako and Modeste.

Borussia Dortmund has won 3 of their last 8 direct confronts, drawing 3 and losing the remaining 2.

FC Köln 1-1 Borussia Dortmund
1. Bundesliga 16/17
Borussia Dortmund 2-2 FC Köln
1. Bundesliga 15/16
FC Köln 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
1. Bundesliga 15/16
Borussia Dortmund 0-0 FC Köln
1. Bundesliga 14/15
FC Köln 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
1. Bundesliga 14/15
FC Köln 1-6 Borussia Dortmund
1. Bundesliga 11/12
Borussia Dortmund 5-0 FC Köln
1. Bundesliga 11/12
Borussia Dortmund 1-0 FC Köln
1. Bundesliga 10/11

Dortmund are motivated with their recent results and with their good offensive moment. They should have what it takes to take advantage of FC Koln’s difficulties and to win more 3 points at home.

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Asian Handicap: Borussia Dortmund -1.5 1.80 Bet365
dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
  • Country: Germany
  • Stadium: Signal Iduna Park
  • City: Dortmund
  • Establishment: 1909

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FC Koln II
FC Koln
  • Country: Germany
  • Stadium: RheinEnergieStadion
  • City: Köln
  • Establishment: 1948

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Fábio Mota
  • Predictions made 174
  • Average Odds used 1.76
  • Predictions right 99
  • Predictions wrong 65
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