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Borussia Dortmund – Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)

This saturday night, the Signal Iduna Park stadium will host one of the most exciting games of the 32th round of Bundesliga, with Borussia Dortmund hosting Hoffenheim in a match that can decide who takes the 3rd spot in the table at the end of the season. After drawing at home in the last round, against FC Koln, Dortmund lost important points and dropped one spot in the table, with their opponent in this game ascending to the 3rd place. Hoffenheim, on their turn, are here to protect at all costs this same 3rd spot, which grants them direct access to Champions League Group Stage.

Borussia Dortmund are 4th placed in the Bundesliga table with 57 points, result of 16 victories, 9 draws and 6 defeats, with 65 goals scored and 35 goals conceded. After beating the mighty Bayern Munich in the German Cup semi-finals, at Allianz Arena, Borussia Dortmund couldn’t get a better result than a home draw against FC Koln, in the league’s last round, and dropped of 3rd spot. With the German Cup final at the end of the season being the only match they have left, besides the german championship, Dortmund can now focus 100% in conquering the 3rd spot, their only objective in the Bundesliga. At home is where Thomas Tuchel’s men are more comfortable, haven’t lost any Bundesliga game so far this season, and winning 4 of their last 5, drawing the remaining, scoring 13 goals and conceding only 3 in the process.

Despite being a team with a lot of defensive difficulties, at home they show a much better organized defense, since when they are playing in front of their supporters, they have conceded only 8 goals in 15 matches. Offensively, the Westphalia side are very eye catching thanks to their direct football style, an eminent danger in counterattacks and in creating scoring chances through individual skill, since they have very talented players who can make the difference at any moment, such as Marco Reus, Dembélé, Aubameyang, Pullisic, among others. With only 3 matches left until the end of the league, Dortmund are obliged to win this encounter, which would be a huge step for the Champions League’ direct access.

In their last 5 official games, Borussia Dortmund won 3, draw 1 and lost the other 1. This sequence of results started with a 3-1 home victory against Frankfurt. This result was followed by a 3-1 defeat at Monaco’s ground, for the Champions League, a 2-3 away win over Borussia M’Gladbach, a 2-3 away win against Bayern Munich, for the German Cup, and in their last clash, a 0-0 home draw agains FC Koln. Mario Gotze, Shurrle, Bartra, Sebastian Rode and Nuri Sahin are all out due to injury.

Probable Lineup: Burki – Piszczek, Sokratis, Ginter and Schmelzer – Weigl – Dembélé, Castro, Kagawa and Reus – Aubameyang.

bundesligaHoffenheim, on their turn, are 3rd placed in the Bundesliga table with 58 points, result of 15 victories, 13 draws and 3 defeats, with 58 goals scored and 32 goals conceded. This is, without a doubt, the best season in the all Hoffenheim’s history, with the team being in full fight for the direct access to the Champions League Group Stage, and have already secured, at least, the 4th place in the table, which grants access to the Champions League play-off. Away from home, Julian Nagelsmann’s men have greater difficult in winning games, having won only 1 of their last 5 encounters, although they have only lost 1 of them, scoring 7 goals and conceding 6 in the process.

Away from home is also where they show greater difficulty in scoring goals, as well as in keeping their good defensive organization, since they have scored 23 goals and conceded 18 as visitors. Hoffe show some loopholes in aerial duels and they foul often in dangerous areas, which often results in conceding goals. Yet, they are offensively versatile and are dangerous when they attack down the wings, they also can easily create long shots opportunities, are strong at finishing scoring chances and dangerous in set pieces. Julian Naggelsmann’s men need these 3 points, but this won’t be a easy match for them.

In their last 5 official games, Hoffenheim won 3 games, draw 1 and lost the other 1. These sequence of results started with a 1-0 home victory against Bayern Munich. This result was followed by a 2-1 away defeat at Hamburg’s ground, a 5-3 home win against Borussia M’Gladbach, a 1-1 away draw against FC Koln, a 1-0 home win against Frankfurt.Manager Julian Nagelsmann has no injury concerns.

Probable Lineup: Baumann – Sule, Vogt and Hubner – Kaderabek, Amiri, Rudy, Demirbay and Zuber – Wagner and Kramaric.

Borussia Dortmund has won 4 of their last 8 direct confronts, drawing the remaining 4.

TSG Hoffenheim 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
1. Bundesliga 16/17
Borussia Dortmund 3-1 TSG Hoffenheim
1. Bundesliga 15/16
TSG Hoffenheim 1-1 Borussia Dortmund
1. Bundesliga 15/16
TSG Hoffenheim 1-1 Borussia Dortmund
1. Bundesliga 14/15
Borussia Dortmund
3-2(a.p.)
TSG Hoffenheim
DFB Pokal 2014/15
Borussia Dortmund 1-0 TSG Hoffenheim
1. Bundesliga 14/15
Borussia Dortmund 3-2 TSG Hoffenheim
1. Bundesliga 13/14
TSG Hoffenheim 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
1. Bundesliga 13/14

Expect this to be a very intense game between two direct teams that are strong on the break. With both teams needing these 3 points at all costs, this will be a match with several chances at both ends of the pitch.

Betting Preview Odd Bookmaker Retorno
Over 3 Goals 1.53 Bet365
dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
  • Country: Germany
  • Stadium: Signal Iduna Park
  • City: Dortmund
  • Establishment: 1909

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Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim
  • Country: Germany
  • Stadium: Rhein-Neckar Arena
  • City: Sinsheim
  • Establishment: 1899

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Fábio Mota
  • Predictions made 174
  • Average Odds used 1.76
  • Predictions right 99
  • Predictions wrong 65
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