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Manchester United – Derby County (FA Cup)

Manchester United and Derby County go up against each other on Friday night at Old Trafford, for the third round of the FA Cup. Mourinho ended a winless run of four matches with an away victory against Everton on Monday, a match where the Red Devils finally putted up a strong performance and looked like the same United from the beginning of the season. Derby County, on their turn, arrive here in a very good moment in the Championship and they wouldn’t be the first Championship side to beat Manchester United this season.

Manchester United are preparing for their first FA Cup match of the season, a competition that they have already won 12 times, with the last one being in 2015/16. After a disappointing defeat against Bristol City, in the EFL Cup, and three consecutive draws, the Red Devils finally got back into winning ways with an impressive 2-0 win at Everton’s ground on Monday, a match where they were especially strong in the second half. However, Mourinho faces a few problems here thanks to his big injury list, which makes it difficult for the Portuguese coach to rotate players.

At home, where they are usually stronger, Manchester United are not really getting good results recently, coming here with just 1 victory in their last 4 home matches, losing 1, with 4 goals scored and 4 goals conceded. Here, the Red Devils face one more Championship side, but underestimate this opponent would be a huge mistake after what happened against Bristol City, something that the team should take into consideration.

In their last 5 official matches, Manchester United has a record of 1 victory, 3 draws and 1 defeat. This sequence of results started with a 2-1 defeat against Bristol City, for the EFL Cup. This result was followed by a 2-2 away draw against Leicester City, a 2-2 draw at home against Burnley, a 0-0 draw away to Southampton, and in their last match, a 0-2 victory over Everton. Carrick, Fellaini, Lukaku, Ibrahimovic, Smalling, Bailly and Valencia, all injured, and Ashley Young, suspended, are all out for this match.

Probable Lineup: Romero – Darmian, Tuanzebe, Rojo and Blind – McTominay, Herrera and Pogba – Mkhitaryan, Martial and Rashford.

facupDerby County, on their turn, are also preparing for their first FA Cup match of the season, a competition that they have only won once, in 1945/46. The Rams are enjoying a very positive campaign in the Championship so far this season, they have not lost any of their last 7 consecutive matches and are in 2nd place in the league table, which grants direct promotion to the Premier League. The team are also strong playing away from home, they have not lost a single match since September, meaning they have not lost any of their last 9 consecutive away matches. Furthermore, it is important to note that in the previous 4 matches as visitors, the Rams have only conceded 1 goal, scoring 8 in the process.

In their last 5 official matches, Derby County has a record of 3 victories and 2 draws. This sequence of results started with 2-0 victory over Aston Villa. This result was followed by 3-0 victory against Millwall, a 0-0 draw away to Hull City, a 1-2 victory against Ipswich Town, and their last match, a 1-1 draw at home against Sheffield United. Joe Ledley is the only injury concern for Derby ahead of Friday’s trip to Manchester United.

Probable Lineup: Carson – Wisdom, Keogh, Davies and Olsson – Johnson and Huddleston – Welmann, Vydra and Lawrence – Nugent.

In the past 10 years there were 6 direct clashes between this two teams, with Manchester United winning 5 and Derby County winning the other one.

Derby County 1-3 Manchester United
FA Cup 2015/16
Derby County 1-4 Manchester United
FA Cup 2008/09
Manchester UnitedInglaterra
InglaterraDerby County
Carling Cup 2008/09
Derby County
Manchester United
Carling Cup 2008/09
Derby County 0-1 Manchester United
Premier League 2007/08
Manchester United 4-1 Derby County
Premier League 2007/08

The Red Devils seem to be back on the right track, but Derby County are going through a very positive moment of form. Mourinho is expected to rotate his squad here, and if Gareth Rowett is to enter here with his stronger XI, this could turn into a very entertaining match, as well as their previous clashes.

Betting Preview Odd Bookmaker Error
Over 2.5 Goals 1.81 Bet365
Manchester United
  • Country: England
  • Stadium: Old Trafford
  • City: Manchester
  • Establishment: 1878

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Derby County
  • Country: England
  • Stadium: IPro Stadium
  • City: Derby
  • Establishment: 1884

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Fábio Mota
  • Predictions made 174
  • Average Odds used 1.76
  • Predictions right 99
  • Predictions wrong 65
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