Premier League 12ª Jornada

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Manchester United – Newcastle United (Premier League)

Manchester United and Newcastle United are in action this Saturday afternoon at Old Trafford, for the 12th round of the Premier League. After a few less successful rounds in the Premier League, the Red Devils welcomed the international break, and Jose Mourinho is now starting to get some key players back from injury. Newcastle, on their turn, have also seen the international break come at the right time, losing their last two consecutive matches in the Premier League.

Manchester United are in 2nd place in the league table with 23 points, result of 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 23 goals scored and 5 goals conceded. After a great start to the season in the Premier League, which saw Jose Mourinho’s side fighting for the 1st spot of the league table with Manchester City until the 8th round, the Red Devils ended up losing some ground in the race for the top of the table, with defeats against Huddersfield Town and Chelsea, which now sees this Manchester side 8 points behind 1st place. Besides the Premier League, the Red Devils are enjoying a great performance both in the Champions League, where they are leaders of Group A after winning all the matches played, and in the EFL Cup, where they reached the quarterfinals and will face Bristol City.

The international break came at the right time for Manchester United after a few less successful matches, and Jose Mourinho is starting to get some key players back from injury, like Pogba and Ibrahimovic, and will hope his side can rediscover their best form in the run up to Christmas. In the 5 matches played at Old Trafford for the Premier League, the Red Devils have won them all, scoring 15 goals and conceding none in the process. Having said that, Mourinho has made Old Trafford a fortress, with the team presenting an insurmountable defense and an overwhelming attack with an average of 3 goals scored per game.

In their last 5 official matches, Manchester United has a record of 3 victories and 2 defeats. This sequence of results started with a 2-1 defeat against Huddersfield Town. This result was followed by a 0-2 win against Swansea City, for the EFL Cup, a 1-0 victory against Tottenham, a 2-0 victory over Benfica, for the Champions League, and in their last match, a 1-0 defeat against Chelsea. Phil Jones and Marcos Rojo are both out due to injury. There are reports suggesting Paul Pogba and Zlatan Ibrahimovic could make the bench against Newcastle, but that seems a stretch, especially for Ibrahimovic.

Probable Lineup: Gea – Valencia, Bailly, Smalling and Young – Matic and Herrera – Mata, Mkhitaryan and Rashford – Lukaku.

premier-leagueNewcastle United, on their turn, are in 11th place in the league table with 14 points, result of 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats, with 10 goals scored and 10 goals conceded. Eliminated in the EFL Cup in August 23rd, Newcastle only have to be concerned with their performance in the Premier League, and were even getting a good campaign in the competition were it not for the defeats in the last two matches, against Burnley and Bournemouth. Despite being placed in the middle of the league table, it is to note that this Rafa Benítez’s side have only 1 victory in their last 6 consecutive matches, reason why the Spanish coach also received the international break with joy.

Away from home is where the Magpies have more difficulty in getting points, winning only 1 of their 5 matches, losing 3 of them, and with a total of 3 goals scored and 5 conceded. Although they are the 5th team in the Premier League with less goals conceded, Newcastle greatest difficulty seems to be in the offensive sector, having few solutions and little creativity up front, as well as lack of finishing power, which could be a problem against a team so organized defensively like Manchester United.

In their last 5 official matches, Newcastle has a record of 1 victory, 2 draws and 2 defeats. This sequence of results started with a 1-1 draw at home against Liverpool. This result was followed by a 2-2 away draw against Southampton, a 1-0 victory against Crystal Palace, a 1-0 defeat against Burnley, and in their last match, a 0-1 defeat against Bournemouth. Mikel Merino is reportedly sidelined for up to eight weeks with a back problem.

Probable Lineup: Elliot – Yedlin, Clark, Lejeune and Manquillo – Hayden and Shelvey – Ricthie, Pérez and Murphy – Joselu.

Manchester Unite have won 5 of their last 8 direct clashes, drawing 2 and losing the remaining one.

Newcastle 3-3 Manchester United
Premier League 2015/16
Manchester United 0-0 Newcastle
Premier League 2015/16
Newcastle 0-1 Manchester United
Premier League 2014/15
Manchester United 3-1 Newcastle
Premier League 2014/15
Newcastle 0-4 Manchester United
Premier League 2013/14
Manchester United 0-1 Newcastle
Premier League 2013/14
Manchester United 4-3 Newcastle
Premier League 2012/13
Newcastle 0-3 Manchester United
Premier League 2012/13

Playing in their own fortress, the Red Devils are huge favorites to get the 3 points in this match, although this should be a game of few goal. Besides that, United have not conceded at home in the Premier League this season and it would be a surprise if Newcastle were the team to end that run, considering they have failed to score in three of their five away league matches this term.

Betting Preview Odd Bookmaker Success
Asian Handicap: Manchester United -1.5 1.94 Bet365
Manchester United
  • Country: England
  • Stadium: Old Trafford
  • City: Manchester
  • Establishment: 1878

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  • Country: England
  • Stadium: St. James' Park
  • City: Newcastle
  • Establishment: 1892

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Fábio Mota
  • Predictions made 174
  • Average Odds used 1.76
  • Predictions right 99
  • Predictions wrong 65
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