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Genoa – Inter Milan (Serie A)

Genoa and Inter Milan meet at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in a match for the 25th round of the Serie A. Genoa surprised after back-to-back wins against Lazio and Chievo and are building a good safety distance from the relegation zone. Inter Milan, on their turn, have been in a very disappointing form since December, and were finally able to end a 9 match winless run in the last round, beating Bologna at the Giuseppe Meazza.

Genoa are in 13th place with 27 points, from 7 victories, 6 draws and 11 defeats, with 19 goals scored and 25 goals conceded. Genoa arrive here motivated after away wins against Lazio and Chievo in the previous two rounds, they have already a good safety distance from the bottom three and seem to have enough quality to fight for a place in top half of the table. The team is showing a very good defensive capacity, since they in only 1 of the last 8 matches in the league they have conceded more than 1 goal, and reinforced their defensive strength by keeping a clean sheet at Chievo last time out.

Curiously, it is not at home that the team are seem to be stronger, they have only won 2 of 11 Serie A matches played here, having lost 7 of them. Still, those 2 home victories come from the previous 3 home matches, where they have scored 2 goals and conceded only 1 in the process.

In their last 5 official matches, Geona has a record of 3 victories and 2 defeats. This sequence of results started with 1-0 victory against Sassuolo. This result was followed by 1-0 defeat against Juventus, a 0-1 defeat against Udinese, a 1-2 victory against Lazio, and in their last match, a 0-1 victory against Chievo. Rossi, Miguel Veloso and Armando Izzo are all out due to injury.

Probable Lineup: Perin – Birashi, Spolli and Zukanovic – Rigoni, Hiljemark, Bertolacci, Pereira and Laxalt – Pandev and Taarabt.-

Inter Milan, on their turn, are in 3rd place with 48 points, from 13 victories, 9 draws and 2 defeats, with 40 goals scored and 19 goals conceded. After spending almost half of the season fighting for the Scudetto, Inter Milan suffered a break in their momentum and has gone through a disappointing run of results, spending 8 straight Serie A matches without a single victory under their belt, and only in the previous round they were able break this awful moment, beating Bologna 2-1 at the Giuseppe Meazza.

The Nerazzurri are winless in their last 4 away matches in the Serie A, losing one of them, and have only scored 2 goals, conceding 3 in the process. Inter Milan’s main problem is the lack of attacking options besides feeding crosses for Mauro Icardi, who, along with Ivan Perisic, is injured. Luciano Spalletti’s team need to improve their offensive creativity as fast as possible, or may lose direct access to Champions League in the next season, with AS Roma only 2 points bellow them in 5th place.

In their last 5 official matches, Inter Milan has a record of 1 victory and 4 draws. This sequence of results started with a 1-1 draw away to Fiorentina. This result was followed by 1-1 draw at home against AS Roma, a 1-1 draw away to SPAL, a 1-1 draw at home against Crotone, and in their last match, a  2-1 victory over Bologna.

Probable Lineup: Handanovic – Cancelo, Skriniar, Miranda and D’Ambrosio – Rafinha and Vecino – Karamoh, Valero and Candreva – Éder.

Genoa won 4 of the last 8 direct confrontations, losing the remaining 4.

The hosts have been very difficult to break down in recent months and it will be no different for Inter, who on their turn have their main offensive references sidelined. Genoa may have what it takes to win here, but this should be a very closed match with few scoring chances.