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  • 12 November
  • 19:45
  • Bet365

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Greece – Croatia (World Cup 2018)

After being trashed on Thursday night in hostile ground, Greece are now looking to take revenge against Croatia on Sunday night, at the Karaiskákis Stadium, in Piraeus, for the 2nd leg of the 2018 World Cup play-off qualifiers. The Greeks arrive here after being trashed on Thursday night, making it now very difficult for them to advance in the competition, while Croatia arrive here confident and with one feet and a half in the 2018 World Cup, and only a miracle would deny them the qualification.

Greece have their motivation torn apart after losing 4-1 on Thursday night in Croatia, reducing hugely their chances of moving forward in the competition. It is a fact that the Greeks are not as good as the Croatians, but they still have some talent in their squad, with Karnezis between the sticks, Sokratis, Torosidis and Manolas at the back, Fortounis, Samaris and Tachtsidis in the midfield and Mitroglou in attack.

Still, even though they were one of the best teams in terms of defending in the group stage, the Greeks ended up trashed and now must score at least three times and as such are likely to name a more attacking line-up on Sunday.

In their last 5 official matches, Greece has a record of 2 victories, 1 draws and 2 defeats. This sequence of results started with a 0-0 draw against Estonia. This result was followed by a 1-2 defeat against Belgium, a 1-2 victory against Cyprus, a 4-0 victory against Gibraltar, and in their last match, a 4-1 defeat against Croatia.

Probable Lineup: Karnezis – Retsos, Sokratis, Manolas and Tzavellas – Tziolis and Zeca – Gianniotas, Fortounis and Christodoupoulos – Mitroglou.

World Cup 2018Croatia, on their turn, managed to break down the Greek defensive organization and made an excelente 1st leg, took a lot of advantage of the home factor and got a very comfortable result that leaves the Croatians almost qualified for the World Cup, trashing them by 4-1. In fact, the result is not that surprising if take into account the immense quality and talent present in this squad, with players like Subasic as the main keeper, a defensive sector with Vrsaljko, Lovren and Vida, a very talented midfield with Modric, Rakitic, Brozovic and Perisic, and strikers like Kalinic, Kramaric and Mandzukic.

That being said, the quality of the team becomes unquestionable, and this time they were able to impose all their talent on the pitch. However, this time the Vatreni will find a much more offensive Greece, which on the one hand will be more difficult for them to keep a clean sheet, but on the other hand will provide the Croatians plenty of chances on the break.

In their last 5 official games, Croatia has a record of 3 victories, 1 draw and 1 defeats. This sequence of results of started with a 1-0 victory against Kosovo. This result was followed by a 1-0 defeat against Turkey, a 1-1 draw against Finland, a 0-2 defeat against Ukraine, and in their last match, a 4-1 victory over Greece.

Probable Lineup: Subasic – Vrsaljko, Vida, Lovren and Strinic – Brozovic and Rakitic – Kramaric, Modric and Perisic – Kalinic.

Greece have only won 1 of their last 4 direct clashes since the beginning of the millennium, losing 1 and drawing the remaining 2.

Croatia
4-1
Greece
WC2018 UEFA
Greece
2-0
Croatia
Euro 2012 (Q)
Croatia
0-0
Greece
Euro 2012 (Q)
Croatia
2-2
Greece
Friendly Match 2001

Croatia confirmed their favoritism in the 1st leg and now travels to Greek soil where they will find a Greece with a much more offensive posture. Given the need of Greece to score goals, not only they will be an offensive threat, but also their offensive stance will provide opportunities on the break for Croatia. There should be goals at either end again as a result, but Croatia should book a place in Russia with relative ease.

Betting Preview Odd Bookmaker Error
Both Teams To Score 1.90 Bet365
Greece
  • Country: Greece
  • Stadium:
  • City: Atenas
  • Establishment: 1906

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Croatia
  • Country: Croatia
  • Stadium:
  • City: Zagreb
  • Establishment: 1912

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Fábio Mota
  • Predictions made 174
  • Average Odds used 1.76
  • Predictions right 99
  • Predictions wrong 65
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