Premier League 17ª Jornada

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West Bromwich – Manchester United (Premier League)

After a draw at Anfield Road, West Bromwich will face Manchester United at The Hawthorns this Sunday afternoon, in a tie for the 18th round of the Premier League. Although a draw at Anfield Road is not a bad result, West Bromwich has increased the number of games without winning, being winless in their last 15 consecutive Premier League games. Manchester United, on their turn, have beaten Bournemouth by the minimum margin at Old Trafford last round, but are already to far away to be title contender anymore.

West Bromwich are in 17th place in the league with 14 points, result of 2 victories, 8 draws and 7 defeats, with 12 goals scored and 22 goals conceded. West Brom is going through a very bad moment of form, and even though they have no other competition to worry about besides the Premier League, they have not won a single match since August 22, being winless in 15 consecutive Premier League matches. This critical moment leaves the Baggies completely involved in the relegation battle, having the same points as Crystal Palace and West Ham, 18th and 19th placed in the league, and are above the relegation spots thanks to a goal difference.

At home is where the Baggies are getting most of their points, although they have only won 1 of the 8 Premier League matches played here, drawing 5 and losing the remaining 2, with 8 goals scored and 12 conceded. West Brom are the second team with less goals scored in the Premier League, but have a good defensive organization and will try repeat here what they did at Anfield, taking points from a top-4 team once again.

In their last 5 official matches, West Bromwich has a record of 4 draws and 1 defeat. This sequence of results started with 1-1 away draw against Tottenham. This result was followed by a 2-2 home draw against Newcastle, a 0-0 home draw against Crystal Palace, a 1-0 defeat against Swansea City, and in their last match, a 0-0 away draw against Liverpool. Morrison and Dawson are both out due to injuries.

Probable Lineup: Foster – Nyom, Hegazi, Evans and Gibbs – Barry, Livermore and Field – Robson-Kanu, Rondón and Rodríguez.

premier-leagueManchester United, on their turn, are in 2nd place in the Premier League with 38 points, result of 12 victories, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 37 goals scored and 11 conceded. Manchester United bounced back from defeat in the Manchester derby with a labouring 1-0 win over Bournemouth on Wednesday, where it was expected a little more from the Red Devils. José Mourinho’s men have been enjoying a good moment of form in all competitions, the are in 2nd place the Premier League, are in the EFL Cup quarter finals, and are in the round of 16 in the Champions League, where they have Sevilla as their opponents.

However, despite the 2nd place in the league, Manchester United are already 11 points behind Manchester City, which leaves them practically out of the title race. Away from home, United have won 4 out of 8 Premier League matches, losing just 2, with 15 goals scored and 8 conceded. Jose Mourinho’s side have scored seven goals across their last two away matches, conceding 3, where they faced Watford and Arsenal. Even though there are few chances of competing with City for the title, the Red Devils will try to maintain this 2nd position at any cost, being 3 points above Chelsea.

In their last 5 official matches, Manchester United has a record of 4 victories and 1 defeat. This sequence of results started with a 2-4 victory over Watford. This result was followed by a 1-3 against Arsenal, a 2-1 victory over CSKA Moscow, for the Champions League, a 1-2 defeat against Manchester City, and in their last match, a 1-0 win over Bournemouth. Carrick and Bailly, both injured, and Pogba, suspended, are out for this match.

Probable Lineup: Gea – Young, Smalling, Jones and Darmian – Matic and Herrera – Mata, Lingard and Rashford – Lukaku.

Each of the teams won 3 of the last 8 direct clashes, with the remaining 2 ending in a tie.

Manchester United 0-0 West Bromwich
Premier League 2016/17
West Bromwich 0-2 Manchester United
Premier League 2016/17
West Bromwich 1-0 Manchester United
Premier League 2015/16
Manchester United 2-0 West Bromwich
Premier League 2015/16
Manchester United 0-1 West Bromwich
Premier League 2014/15
West Bromwich 2-2 Manchester United
Premier League 2014/15
West Bromwich 0-3 Manchester United
Premier League 2013/14
Manchester United 1-2 West Bromwich
Premier League 2013/14

West Brom will try to do here the same thing they did at Anfield, adopting a very defensive strategy in order to keep United away from their goal. The Red Devils are expected to have a hard fought match at the Hawthorns, where they will have difficulty in scoring goals. However, they have enough quality to do so, and should win here in match with few goals.

Betting Preview Odd Bookmaker Error
Under 2.5 Goals 1.81 Bet365
West Bromwich
  • Country: England
  • Stadium: The Hawthorns
  • City: West Bromwich
  • Establishment: 1878

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Manchester United
  • Country: England
  • Stadium: Old Trafford
  • City: Manchester
  • Establishment: 1878

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Fábio Mota
  • Predictions made 174
  • Average Odds used 1.76
  • Predictions right 99
  • Predictions wrong 65
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