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LaLiga 38ª Jornada

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Málaga – Real Madrid (La Liga)

With only one step left from being crowned champions for the first time since 2012, Real Madrid travels to La Rosaleda in order to face Málaga for the last round of the La Liga. The home team achieved their best moment of the season and haven’t lost any of their last 5 matches, with coach Míchel earning last month’s manager of the month award. Real Madrid, on their turn, are only one little step away from the champion coronation and a draw here would be enough to achieve it, but Zidane’s men will be looking for a better result than a draw, having enough quality to do so.

Málaga are 11th placed in the league table with 46 points, result of 12 victories, 10 draws and 15 defeats, with 49 goals scored and 53 goals conceded. After a season with many disappointing results, which has twice led the club to dismiss coaches, like Juande Ramos and Marcelo Romero, it was only after Míchel was hired for the head coach charge that things got better. Much better, actually. Málaga has won 6 of the 11 games played since Míchel took over, drawing 2. The Boquerones recently home form is frightening, with the team wining all the previous 4 matches, against Barcelona, Valencia, Sevilla and Celta de Vigo, scoring 11 goals and conceding only 2 in the process. Málaga don’t have anything else to fight for in the league, but this is the last game at home of this season and they would like to ruin Real Madrid’s title party.

In their last 5 official games, Málaga has a record of 4 victories and 1 defeat. This sequence of results started with a 2-0 home win over Valencia. This result was followed by a 0-2 away victory against Granada, a 4-2 home win against Sevilla, a 3-0 home win over Celta de Vigo, and in their last clash, a 2-2 away draw against Real Sociedad. Kuzmanovic, Bakary Koné, Juanpi, Peñaranda and Rosales, all injured, and En-Nesyri, suspended, are all out due to injury.

Probable Lineup: Kameni – Torres, Hernández, Llorente and Ricca – Recio and Camacho – Keko, Fornals and Jony – Ramírez.

laligaReal Madrid, on their turn, are 1st placed in the league table with 90 points, result of 28 victories, 6 draws and 3 defeats, with 104 goals scored and 41 goals conceded. This is being, undoubtedly, an amazing season for Real Madrid, who have two titles at their reach, with a draw here being enough to be crowned spanish champions, and still can win the Champions League for the second consecutive time if they beat Juventus in the final, a little harder than a draw here, theoretically. The last results of the Merengues in the league are frightning, wining all the previous 5 games and scoring 20 goals while conceding 6 in the process.

Away from home they are equally strong, wining all their previous 8 matches. Los Blancos only need 1 point to be the new reigning champions, but this is not the type of team who sets for a draw, with a game entrance at maximum strength to be expected, and with another great football spectacle in the mix. Zinade’s men are scoring a lot of goals recently and have already shown that they are lethal in counter-attack and in finishing scoring chances, very dangerous in attacking down the wings and in creating chances through individual skill, with players like Isco, Marcelo, Cristiano Ronaldo and Modric all in top form.

In their last 5 official matches, Real Madrid has a record of 4 victories and 1 defeat. This sequence of results started with a 3-0 home win against Atlético Madrid, for the Champions League. This result was followed by a 0-4 away victory against Granada, a 2-1 away defeat against Atlético Madrid, for the Champions League, a 4-1 home win over Sevilla, and in their last match, a 1-4 away victory over Celta de Vigo. Pepe and Gareth Bale are both out due to injury.

Probable Lineup: Navas – Danilo, Ramos, Varane and Marcelo – Modric, Casemiro and Kroos – Isco, Benzema and Ronaldo.

Málaga hasn’t won any of their last 8 direct clashes, drawing 2 and losing the remaining 6.

Real Madrid 2-1 Málaga
Liga Espanhola 16/17
Málaga 1-1 Real Madrid
Liga BBVA 15/16
Real Madrid 0-0 Málaga
Liga BBVA 15/16
Real Madrid 3-1 Málaga
Liga BBVA 14/15
Málaga 1-2 Real Madrid
Liga BBVA 14/15
Málaga 0-1 Real Madrid
Liga BBVA 13/14
Real Madrid 2-0 Málaga
Liga BBVA 13/14
Real Madrid 6-2 Málaga
Liga BBVA 12/13

Málaga will try to ruin Real Madrid’s title party and finish the season with a great result, but the Merengues arrive here more than enough armed to get a victory here. Expect an intense match with various scoring chances at both ends of the pitch, with the Merengues being favorites to get a positive results and to be crowned champions for the first time since 2012.

Betting Preview Odd Bookmaker Error
Real Madrid To Win and Both Teams To Score 1.93 Bet365
Málaga
  • Country: Spain
  • Stadium: La Rosaleda
  • City: Málaga
  • Establishment: 1948

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Real Madrid
  • Country: Spain
  • Stadium: Santiago Bernabéu
  • City: Madrid
  • Establishment: 1902

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Fábio Mota
  • Predictions made 174
  • Average Odds used 1.76
  • Predictions right 99
  • Predictions wrong 65
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